The lead
Week 5: Connor stuns Powell
207.60 points. An unbeaten 11–0 all-play week. Connor beat the projections by 10.47.

- Score of the week
- 207.60Cup
- Closest finish
- 6.50Powell vs Connor
- Biggest win
- 107.55Brad vs Rhys
- Bench points
- 163.05Weave
The Week That Was
Every result, and the numbers that decided them.
Week 5 results
Numbers that mattered
Upset of the week
Connor flipped the forecast
115.90–109.40Beat Powell despite trailing the player-only Sleeper projection by 10.47.
Low score
Rhys75.50
A week to delete from the group chat.
Lineup call
Cup83%
Best share of available roster points reached the lineup.
Top starters
Drake MayeQB · NE · Cup51.20
Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET · Cup39.70
Matthew StaffordQB · LAR · Brad37.15
Jared GoffQB · DET · Cup36.65
Josh AllenQB · BUF · Powell35.60
The Power List
Who's rising, who's falling and who's running out of excuses.
A season-long performance index blending total points, record, cumulative winning margin, lineup efficiency, and all-play record across every week played. It rewards how well a team has played all year, not just whether it escaped 1–0.
- 1
YS—4–110–1 all-play this week59% efficiencyPower Index 83
Still the team to beat
YS beat Tommy Mac 184.35 to 155.15. Jaylen Warren led the lineup with 35.30. In hindsight, starting Tyler Huntley (31.05) instead of Sam Darnold (8.25) adds 22.80; points left unused despite the result.
Next up: Weave. Review the Tyler Huntley decision, but check availability and the matchup before chasing last week's points.
Next: Weave
- 2
Tee—5–06–5 all-play this week74% efficiencyPower Index 74
Points left on the bench
Tee beat Griff 121.10 to 102.05. George Pickens led the lineup with 26.00. In hindsight, starting Deshaun Watson (13.75) instead of Tyler Shough (-3.20) adds 16.95; points left unused despite the result.
Next up: Tommy Mac. Review the Deshaun Watson decision, but check availability and the matchup before chasing last week's points.
Next: Tommy Mac
- 3
Weave—3–28–3 all-play this week52% efficiencyPower Index 69
Points left on the bench
Weave lost to Cup 175.75 to 207.60. Puka Nacua led the lineup with 33.70. In hindsight, starting Bucky Irving (33.00) instead of Jeremiyah Love (2.20) adds 30.80, but still leaves a defeat.
Next up: YS. Review the Bucky Irving decision, but check availability and the matchup before chasing last week's points.
Next: YS
- 4
Brad—3–29–2 all-play this week71% efficiencyPower Index 66
Points left on the bench
Brad beat Rhys 183.05 to 75.50. Matthew Stafford led the lineup with 37.15. In hindsight, starting Malik Willis (17.75) instead of Bo Nix (9.65) adds 8.10; points left unused despite the result.
Next up: Powell. Review the Malik Willis decision, but check availability and the matchup before chasing last week's points.
Next: Powell
- 5
Cup↑23–211–0 all-play this week83% efficiencyPower Index 65
Nobody could live with them
Cup beat Weave 207.60 to 175.75. Drake Maye led the lineup with 51.20. In hindsight, starting Jaylin Noel (12.70) instead of Jaylen Waddle (4.30) adds 8.40; points left unused despite the result.
Next up: Tucker. Review the Jaylin Noel decision, but check availability and the matchup before chasing last week's points.
Next: Tucker
- 6
Connor—3–25–6 all-play this week76% efficiencyPower Index 60
Job done
Connor beat Powell 115.90 to 109.40. C.J. Stroud led the lineup with 25.55. In hindsight, starting Kimani Vidal (12.60) instead of Cam Skattebo (7.10) adds 5.50; points left unused despite the result.
Next up: Griff. Review the Kimani Vidal decision, but check availability and the matchup before chasing last week's points.
Next: Griff
- 7
Griff↓22–32–9 all-play this week67% efficiencyPower Index 55
Sliding down the list
Griff lost to Tee 102.05 to 121.10. Joe Burrow led the lineup with 35.50. In hindsight, starting MarShawn Lloyd (17.20) instead of Colston Loveland (3.90) adds 13.30, but still leaves a defeat.
Next up: Connor. Review the MarShawn Lloyd decision, but check availability and the matchup before chasing last week's points.
Next: Connor
- 8
Powell—2–34–7 all-play this week78% efficiencyPower Index 35
Still searching
Powell lost to Connor 109.40 to 115.90. Josh Allen led the lineup with 35.60. In hindsight, starting Greg Dulcich (9.70) instead of Deebo Samuel Sr. (0.50) adds 9.20 and turns the loss into a 2.70-point win.
Next up: Brad. Review the Greg Dulcich decision, but check availability and the matchup before chasing last week's points.
Next: Brad
- 9
Tommy Mac—2–37–4 all-play this week70% efficiencyPower Index 32
Points left on the bench
Tommy Mac lost to YS 155.15 to 184.35. Jayden Daniels led the lineup with 35.25. In hindsight, starting Samaje Perine (17.80) instead of T.J. Hockenson (1.95) adds 15.85, but still leaves a defeat.
Next up: Tee. Review the Samaje Perine decision, but check availability and the matchup before chasing last week's points.
Next: Tee
- 10
Danny—0–51–10 all-play this week57% efficiencyPower Index 23
Points left on the bench
Danny lost to Tucker 78.05 to 105.65. DeMario Douglas led the lineup with 21.50. In hindsight, starting Kyle Williams (17.10) instead of Carnell Tate (1.10) adds 16.00, but still leaves a defeat.
Next up: Rhys. Review the Kyle Williams decision, but check availability and the matchup before chasing last week's points.
Next: Rhys
- 11
Tucker—3–23–8 all-play this week60% efficiencyPower Index 23
Points left on the bench
Tucker beat Danny 105.65 to 78.05. Kyler Murray led the lineup with 24.05. In hindsight, starting Jameis Winston (35.00) instead of Kirk Cousins (17.15) adds 17.85; points left unused despite the result.
Next up: Cup. Review the Jameis Winston decision, but check availability and the matchup before chasing last week's points.
Next: Cup
- 12
Rhys—0–50–11 all-play this week70% efficiencyPower Index 14
Bottom of the all-play
Rhys lost to Brad 75.50 to 183.05. Jordan Love led the lineup with 31.95. In hindsight, starting Ty Johnson (10.20) instead of Jauan Jennings (0.00) adds 10.20, but still leaves a defeat.
Next up: Danny. Review the Ty Johnson decision, but check availability and the matchup before chasing last week's points.
Next: Danny
Power Index (0–100), season to date: 35% total points for · 20% season record · 15% cumulative margin · 15% season lineup efficiency · 15% all-play record. Arrows show movement from last week's season rankings.
From the week to the season
The State of Play
Where everyone stands today — and where the numbers say they'll finish.
League table Through Week 5
| # | Manager | W–L | PF |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5–0 | 788.30 | |
| 2 | 4–1 | 867.80 | |
| 3 | 3–2 | 861.80 | |
| 4 | 3–2 | 833.90 | |
| 5 | 3–2 | 821.65 | |
| 6 | 3–2 | 669.70 | |
| 7 | 3–2 | 492.15 | |
| 8 | 2–3 | 719.80 | |
| 9 | 2–3 | 650.45 | |
| 10 | 2–3 | 644.65 | |
| 11 | 0–5 | 537.25 | |
| 12 | 0–5 | 360.55 |
Fraud Watch Weeks 1–5
The standings say one thing. The underlying numbers say another.
Prime suspect
Tucker
- Actual
- 3–2
- Expected wins
- 0.91
- Schedule luck
- +2.09
The record is lying
Tucker is 3–2, but 10 wins from 55 all-play matchups are worth only 0.91 expected wins. The difference is +2.09 wins of pure schedule luck.
All-play 10–45 · 11th in points for · 7th in the table · 11th on the Power List
Also under investigation
Tee5–0 actual · 3.77 expected+1.23
Connor3–2 actual · 2.00 expected+1.00
Most robbed
0–5 actual · 1.41 expected · −1.41 wins
Danny has beaten 15.5 of 55 possible all-play opponents, yet the record shows only 0–5.
The playoff race
Six teams make the playoffs. Seeds 1–5 go to the best records; the final spot goes to the highest points-for among everyone else. Odds come from 10,000 simulations of the remaining Week 6–14 schedule.
- 1
WeavolutionYS · 4–1 · 867.80 PF99.2% - 2
NWA: Nacua's World OrderWeave · 3–2 · 861.80 PF97.9% - 3
Tommy mac touches kidsTee · 5–0 · 788.30 PF97.8% - 4
D E Renovation - XCup · 3–2 · 833.90 PF95.7% - 5
LaGeno HeatBrad · 3–2 · 821.65 PF93.5% - 6
The Road WarriorsGriff · 2–3 · 719.80 PF50.6% - 7
NjokeslamConnor · 3–2 · 669.70 PF29.8% - 8
ITS TIME TO PLAY THE GAMETommy Mac · 2–3 · 644.65 PF16.0% - 9
The 619ersPowell · 2–3 · 650.45 PF15.0% - 10
ZO Knight (YEAH!)Tucker · 3–2 · 492.15 PF4.3% - 11
Pick FoleyDanny · 0–5 · 537.25 PF0.2% - 12
RKOdunzeRhys · 0–5 · 360.55 PF0.0%
How it works: each remaining game is played out using every team's scoring average so far, pulled toward the league average so early hot and cold streaks don't count for too much.
Future of the dynasty
2027 rookie draft order
Projected after Week 5, with pick ownership after every trade.
Each cell shows who is on the clock with that pick.
How the order works
- Picks 1–6 go to the six teams currently outside the playoff places, ordered by Max PF (MPF): the lowest possible-points total picks first. Max PF is the best lineup each team could have started every week.
- Picks 7–12 go to the playoff teams. Final order is decided by the playoffs: the champion picks 12th, runner-up 11th, third 10th, and so on. Until then they're shown by projected seed, with the 6th seed at 7 and the top seed at 12.
- Playoff places use the league format: top 5 records, then the highest points-for among the rest.
- Gold cells are traded picks; the avatar shows the manager who now owns it, and the lime line marks where the playoff teams start.