The lead
Week 3: Tee stuns Cup
187.30 points. An unbeaten 11–0 all-play week. Tee beat the projections by 22.99.

- Score of the week
- 187.30Tee
- Closest finish
- 8.70Brad vs Weave
- Biggest win
- 54.45Connor vs Tucker
- Bench points
- 147.95Weave
The Week That Was
Every result, and the numbers that decided them.
Week 3 results
Numbers that mattered
Upset of the week
Tee flipped the forecast
187.30–165.25Beat Cup despite trailing the player-only Sleeper projection by 22.99.
Low score
Danny73.50
A week to delete from the group chat.
Lineup call
YS83%
Best share of available roster points reached the lineup.
Top starters
Brock PurdyQB · SF · Tee42.75
Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET · Cup41.90
Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL · Cup39.30
Sam DarnoldQB · SEA · YS35.95
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA · YS34.00
The Power List
Who's rising, who's falling and who's running out of excuses.
A season-long performance index blending total points, record, cumulative winning margin, lineup efficiency, and all-play record across every week played. It rewards how well a team has played all year, not just whether it escaped 1–0.
- 1
YS—3–010–1 all-play this week83% efficiencyPower Index 95
Still the team to beat
YS beat Griff 180.70 to 161.45. Sam Darnold led the lineup with 35.95. In hindsight, starting DJ Moore (11.70) instead of Justin Jefferson (4.70) adds 7.00; points left unused despite the result.
Next up: Tee. Review the DJ Moore decision, but check availability and the matchup before chasing last week's points.
Next: Tee
- 2
Brad↑12–19–2 all-play this week58% efficiencyPower Index 77
Points left on the bench
Brad beat Weave 175.80 to 167.10. Matthew Stafford led the lineup with 25.80. In hindsight, starting Geno Smith (34.75) instead of Jalen Hurts (13.15) adds 21.60; points left unused despite the result.
Next up: Tucker. Review the Geno Smith decision, but check availability and the matchup before chasing last week's points.
Next: Tucker
- 3
Tee↑13–011–0 all-play this week68% efficiencyPower Index 76
Nobody could live with them
Tee beat Cup 187.30 to 165.25. Brock Purdy led the lineup with 42.75. In hindsight, starting Roman Wilson (14.00) instead of Xavier Hutchinson (8.50) adds 5.50; points left unused despite the result.
Next up: YS. Review the Roman Wilson decision, but check availability and the matchup before chasing last week's points.
Next: YS
- 4
Weave↓22–18–3 all-play this week53% efficiencyPower Index 68
Sliding down the list
Weave lost to Brad 167.10 to 175.80. Brock Bowers led the lineup with 28.10. In hindsight, starting Aaron Rodgers (30.10) instead of Daniel Jones (8.75) adds 21.35 and turns the loss into a 12.65-point win.
Next up: Danny. Review the Aaron Rodgers decision, but check availability and the matchup before chasing last week's points.
Next: Danny
- 5
Griff↑21–26–5 all-play this week68% efficiencyPower Index 52
On the charge
Griff lost to YS 161.45 to 180.70. Joe Burrow led the lineup with 30.90. In hindsight, starting DK Metcalf (11.60) instead of TreVeyon Henderson (3.40) adds 8.20, but still leaves a defeat.
Next up: Powell. Review the DK Metcalf decision, but check availability and the matchup before chasing last week's points.
Next: Powell
- 6
Powell↓12–13–8 all-play this week55% efficiencyPower Index 50
Points left on the bench
Powell beat Rhys 106.70 to 88.55. Ja'Marr Chase led the lineup with 22.80. In hindsight, starting Mack Hollins (13.20) instead of Hunter Henry (1.25) adds 11.95; points left unused despite the result.
Next up: Griff. Review the Mack Hollins decision, but check availability and the matchup before chasing last week's points.
Next: Griff
- 7
Cup↓11–27–4 all-play this week64% efficiencyPower Index 47
Points left on the bench
Cup lost to Tee 165.25 to 187.30. Jahmyr Gibbs led the lineup with 41.90. In hindsight, starting Harold Fannin Jr. (22.85) instead of Drake Maye (0.75) adds 22.10 and turns the loss into a 0.05-point win.
Next up: Tommy Mac. Review the Harold Fannin Jr. decision, but check availability and the matchup before chasing last week's points.
Next: Tommy Mac
- 8
Connor↑11–25–6 all-play this week80% efficiencyPower Index 46
Job done
Connor beat Tucker 137.50 to 83.05. Dak Prescott led the lineup with 24.20. In hindsight, starting Darnell Mooney (4.90) instead of KC Concepcion Jr. (2.40) adds 2.50; points left unused despite the result.
Next up: Rhys. Review the Darnell Mooney decision, but check availability and the matchup before chasing last week's points.
Next: Rhys
- 9
Tommy Mac↑12–14–7 all-play this week63% efficiencyPower Index 36
Points left on the bench
Tommy Mac beat Danny 123.10 to 73.50. Jacoby Brissett led the lineup with 33.40. In hindsight, starting Keenan Allen (16.30) instead of Tre Tucker (7.30) adds 9.00; points left unused despite the result.
Next up: Cup. Review the Keenan Allen decision, but check availability and the matchup before chasing last week's points.
Next: Cup
- 10
Danny↓20–30–11 all-play this week61% efficiencyPower Index 28
Sliding down the list
Danny lost to Tommy Mac 73.50 to 123.10. Baker Mayfield led the lineup with 13.95. In hindsight, starting Keaton Mitchell (12.70) instead of Rashid Shaheed (2.40) adds 10.30, but still leaves a defeat.
Next up: Weave. Review the Keaton Mitchell decision, but check availability and the matchup before chasing last week's points.
Next: Weave
- 11
Tucker—1–21–10 all-play this week47% efficiencyPower Index 14
Points left on the bench
Tucker lost to Connor 83.05 to 137.50. Jordan Addison led the lineup with 18.50. In hindsight, starting Kirk Cousins (29.70) instead of Jameis Winston (7.80) adds 21.90, but still leaves a defeat.
Next up: Brad. Review the Kirk Cousins decision, but check availability and the matchup before chasing last week's points.
Next: Brad
- 12
Rhys—0–32–9 all-play this week73% efficiencyPower Index 12
Running out of excuses
Rhys lost to Powell 88.55 to 106.70. Jordan Love led the lineup with 22.60. In hindsight, starting Ty Johnson (8.50) instead of Jauan Jennings (0.60) adds 7.90, but still leaves a defeat.
Next up: Connor. Review the Ty Johnson decision, but check availability and the matchup before chasing last week's points.
Next: Connor
Power Index (0–100), season to date: 35% total points for · 20% season record · 15% cumulative margin · 15% season lineup efficiency · 15% all-play record. Arrows show movement from last week's season rankings.
From the week to the season
The State of Play
Where everyone stands today — and where the numbers say they'll finish.
League table Through Week 3
| # | Manager | W–L | PF |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3–0 | 534.90 | |
| 2 | 3–0 | 478.90 | |
| 3 | 2–1 | 523.30 | |
| 4 | 2–1 | 506.85 | |
| 5 | 2–1 | 400.75 | |
| 6 | 2–1 | 370.35 | |
| 7 | 1–2 | 455.50 | |
| 8 | 1–2 | 438.30 | |
| 9 | 1–2 | 390.90 | |
| 10 | 1–2 | 270.25 | |
| 11 | 0–3 | 361.55 | |
| 12 | 0–3 | 210.45 |
Fraud Watch Weeks 1–3
The standings say one thing. The underlying numbers say another.
Prime suspect
Tommy Mac
- Actual
- 2–1
- Expected wins
- 1.05
- Schedule luck
- +0.95
The record is lying
Tommy Mac is 2–1, but 11.5 wins from 33 all-play matchups are worth only 1.05 expected wins. The difference is +0.95 wins of pure schedule luck.
All-play 11.5–21.5 · 9th in points for · 6th in the table · 9th on the Power List
Also under investigation
Tee3–0 actual · 2.23 expected+0.77
Tucker1–2 actual · 0.36 expected+0.64
Most robbed
0–3 actual · 1.23 expected · −1.23 wins
Danny has beaten 13.5 of 33 possible all-play opponents, yet the record shows only 0–3.
The playoff race
Six teams make the playoffs. Seeds 1–5 go to the best records; the final spot goes to the highest points-for among everyone else. Odds come from 10,000 simulations of the remaining Week 4–14 schedule.
- 1
WeavolutionYS · 3–0 · 534.90 PF98.8% - 2
LaGeno HeatBrad · 2–1 · 523.30 PF96.8% - 3
NWA: Nacua's World OrderWeave · 2–1 · 506.85 PF93.6% - 4
Tommy mac touches kidsTee · 3–0 · 478.90 PF92.0% - 5
D E Renovation - XCup · 1–2 · 455.50 PF68.0% - 6
The Road WarriorsGriff · 1–2 · 438.30 PF54.5% - 7
The 619ersPowell · 2–1 · 400.75 PF41.3% - 8
ITS TIME TO PLAY THE GAMETommy Mac · 2–1 · 370.35 PF25.6% - 9
NjokeslamConnor · 1–2 · 390.90 PF21.6% - 10
Pick FoleyDanny · 0–3 · 361.55 PF6.0% - 11
ZO Knight (YEAH!)Tucker · 1–2 · 270.25 PF1.6% - 12
RKOdunzeRhys · 0–3 · 210.45 PF0.1%
How it works: each remaining game is played out using every team's scoring average so far, pulled toward the league average so early hot and cold streaks don't count for too much.
Future of the dynasty
2027 rookie draft order
Projected after Week 3, with pick ownership after every trade.
Each cell shows who is on the clock with that pick.
How the order works
- Picks 1–6 go to the six teams currently outside the playoff places, ordered by Max PF (MPF): the lowest possible-points total picks first. Max PF is the best lineup each team could have started every week.
- Picks 7–12 go to the playoff teams. Final order is decided by the playoffs: the champion picks 12th, runner-up 11th, third 10th, and so on. Until then they're shown by projected seed, with the 6th seed at 7 and the top seed at 12.
- Playoff places use the league format: top 5 records, then the highest points-for among the rest.
- Gold cells are traded picks; the avatar shows the manager who now owns it, and the lime line marks where the playoff teams start.