The lead
Week 4: Tucker stuns Brad
188.30 points. An unbeaten 11–0 all-play week. Tucker beat the projections by 46.31.

- Score of the week
- 188.30Tee
- Closest finish
- 0.95Brad vs Tucker
- Biggest win
- 88.30Rhys vs Connor
- Bench points
- 165.45Weave
The Week That Was
Every result, and the numbers that decided them.
Week 4 results
Numbers that mattered
Upset of the week
Tucker flipped the forecast
116.25–115.30Beat Brad despite trailing the player-only Sleeper projection by 46.31.
Low score
Rhys74.60
A week to delete from the group chat.
Lineup call
Connor81%
Best share of available roster points reached the lineup.
Top starters
Tetairoa McMillanWR · CAR · Cup40.20
CeeDee LambWR · DAL · Weave37.80
Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC · Griff32.40
Drake MayeQB · NE · Cup31.85
C.J. StroudQB · HOU · Connor31.05
The Power List
Who's rising, who's falling and who's running out of excuses.
A season-long performance index blending total points, record, cumulative winning margin, lineup efficiency, and all-play record across every week played. It rewards how well a team has played all year, not just whether it escaped 1–0.
- 1
YS—3–16–5 all-play this week63% efficiencyPower Index 79
Still the team to beat
YS lost to Tee 148.55 to 188.30. Lamar Jackson led the lineup with 25.10. In hindsight, starting Dohnte Meyers (14.20) instead of DJ Moore (2.70) adds 11.50, but still leaves a defeat.
Next up: Tommy Mac. Review the Dohnte Meyers decision, but check availability and the matchup before chasing last week's points.
Next: Tommy Mac
- 2
Tee↑14–011–0 all-play this week64% efficiencyPower Index 78
Nobody could live with them
Tee beat YS 188.30 to 148.55. Chuba Hubbard led the lineup with 28.90. In hindsight, starting Emanuel Wilson (26.00) instead of Mike Evans (12.10) adds 13.90; points left unused despite the result.
Next up: Griff. Review the Emanuel Wilson decision, but check availability and the matchup before chasing last week's points.
Next: Griff
- 3
Weave↑13–19–2 all-play this week52% efficiencyPower Index 77
Points left on the bench
Weave beat Danny 179.20 to 97.65. CeeDee Lamb led the lineup with 37.80. In hindsight, starting Kyren Williams (35.20) instead of Jeremiyah Love (7.50) adds 27.70; points left unused despite the result.
Next up: Cup. Review the Kyren Williams decision, but check availability and the matchup before chasing last week's points.
Next: Cup
- 4
Brad↓22–22–9 all-play this week58% efficiencyPower Index 63
Sliding down the list
Brad lost to Tucker 115.30 to 116.25. Zay Flowers led the lineup with 23.30. In hindsight, starting Ollie Gordon II (18.00) instead of Travis Kelce (3.50) adds 14.50 and turns the loss into a 13.55-point win.
Next up: Rhys. Review the Ollie Gordon II decision, but check availability and the matchup before chasing last week's points.
Next: Rhys
- 5
Griff—2–210–1 all-play this week78% efficiencyPower Index 59
Job done
Griff beat Powell 179.45 to 140.30. Kenneth Walker III led the lineup with 32.40. In hindsight, starting DK Metcalf (16.50) instead of Rashee Rice (0.00) adds 16.50; points left unused despite the result.
Next up: Tee. Review the DK Metcalf decision, but check availability and the matchup before chasing last week's points.
Next: Tee
- 6
Connor↑22–27–4 all-play this week81% efficiencyPower Index 58
On the charge
Connor beat Rhys 162.90 to 74.60. C.J. Stroud led the lineup with 31.05. In hindsight, starting Kimani Vidal (10.60) instead of Evan Engram (1.85) adds 8.75; points left unused despite the result.
Next up: Powell. Review the Kimani Vidal decision, but check availability and the matchup before chasing last week's points.
Next: Powell
- 7
Cup—2–28–3 all-play this week65% efficiencyPower Index 52
Points left on the bench
Cup beat Tommy Mac 170.80 to 119.15. Tetairoa McMillan led the lineup with 40.20. In hindsight, starting Jameson Williams (16.20) instead of Josh Downs (3.10) adds 13.10; points left unused despite the result.
Next up: Weave. Review the Jameson Williams decision, but check availability and the matchup before chasing last week's points.
Next: Weave
- 8
Powell↓22–25–6 all-play this week58% efficiencyPower Index 39
Sliding down the list
Powell lost to Griff 140.30 to 179.45. Patrick Mahomes led the lineup with 23.75. In hindsight, starting Brian Robinson Jr. (27.20) instead of David Montgomery (4.30) adds 22.90, but still leaves a defeat.
Next up: Connor. Review the Brian Robinson Jr. decision, but check availability and the matchup before chasing last week's points.
Next: Connor
- 9
Tommy Mac—2–24–7 all-play this week71% efficiencyPower Index 34
Points left on the bench
Tommy Mac lost to Cup 119.15 to 170.80. T.J. Hockenson led the lineup with 25.65. In hindsight, starting Darius Cooper (16.80) instead of Ladd McConkey (0.00) adds 16.80, but still leaves a defeat.
Next up: YS. Review the Darius Cooper decision, but check availability and the matchup before chasing last week's points.
Next: YS
- 10
Danny—0–41–10 all-play this week59% efficiencyPower Index 25
Points left on the bench
Danny lost to Weave 97.65 to 179.20. Ashton Jeanty led the lineup with 18.60. In hindsight, starting Keon Coleman (22.60) instead of Dalton Kincaid (1.45) adds 21.15, but still leaves a defeat.
Next up: Tucker. Review the Keon Coleman decision, but check availability and the matchup before chasing last week's points.
Next: Tucker
- 11
Tucker—2–23–8 all-play this week71% efficiencyPower Index 21
Points left on the bench
Tucker beat Brad 116.25 to 115.30. Kirk Cousins led the lineup with 28.25. In hindsight, starting Jameis Winston (22.50) instead of Kyler Murray (14.45) adds 8.05; points left unused despite the result.
Next up: Danny. Review the Jameis Winston decision, but check availability and the matchup before chasing last week's points.
Next: Danny
- 12
Rhys—0–40–11 all-play this week80% efficiencyPower Index 14
Bottom of the all-play
Rhys lost to Connor 74.60 to 162.90. Jordan Love led the lineup with 17.05. In hindsight, starting Tyler Badie (8.40) instead of Jauan Jennings (1.30) adds 7.10, but still leaves a defeat.
Next up: Brad. Review the Tyler Badie decision, but check availability and the matchup before chasing last week's points.
Next: Brad
Power Index (0–100), season to date: 35% total points for · 20% season record · 15% cumulative margin · 15% season lineup efficiency · 15% all-play record. Arrows show movement from last week's season rankings.
From the week to the season
The State of Play
Where everyone stands today — and where the numbers say they'll finish.
League table Through Week 4
| # | Manager | W–L | PF |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4–0 | 667.20 | |
| 2 | 3–1 | 686.05 | |
| 3 | 3–1 | 683.45 | |
| 4 | 2–2 | 638.60 | |
| 5 | 2–2 | 626.30 | |
| 6 | 2–2 | 617.75 | |
| 7 | 2–2 | 553.80 | |
| 8 | 2–2 | 541.05 | |
| 9 | 2–2 | 489.50 | |
| 10 | 2–2 | 386.50 | |
| 11 | 0–4 | 459.20 | |
| 12 | 0–4 | 285.05 |
Fraud Watch Weeks 1–4
The standings say one thing. The underlying numbers say another.
Prime suspect
Tucker
- Actual
- 2–2
- Expected wins
- 0.64
- Schedule luck
- +1.36
The record is lying
Tucker is 2–2, but 7 wins from 44 all-play matchups are worth only 0.64 expected wins. The difference is +1.36 wins of pure schedule luck.
All-play 7–37 · 11th in points for · 10th in the table · 11th on the Power List
Also under investigation
Tee4–0 actual · 3.23 expected+0.77
Tommy Mac2–2 actual · 1.41 expected+0.59
Most robbed
0–4 actual · 1.32 expected · −1.32 wins
Danny has beaten 14.5 of 44 possible all-play opponents, yet the record shows only 0–4.
The playoff race
Six teams make the playoffs. Seeds 1–5 go to the best records; the final spot goes to the highest points-for among everyone else. Odds come from 10,000 simulations of the remaining Week 5–14 schedule.
- 1
Tommy mac touches kidsTee · 4–0 · 667.20 PF97.5% - 2
WeavolutionYS · 3–1 · 683.45 PF97.1% - 3
NWA: Nacua's World OrderWeave · 3–1 · 686.05 PF96.9% - 4
LaGeno HeatBrad · 2–2 · 638.60 PF83.2% - 5
D E Renovation - XCup · 2–2 · 626.30 PF77.3% - 6
The Road WarriorsGriff · 2–2 · 617.75 PF72.6% - 7
NjokeslamConnor · 2–2 · 553.80 PF30.4% - 8
The 619ersPowell · 2–2 · 541.05 PF28.6% - 9
ITS TIME TO PLAY THE GAMETommy Mac · 2–2 · 489.50 PF13.0% - 10
ZO Knight (YEAH!)Tucker · 2–2 · 386.50 PF2.5% - 11
Pick FoleyDanny · 0–4 · 459.20 PF0.9% - 12
RKOdunzeRhys · 0–4 · 285.05 PF0.0%
How it works: each remaining game is played out using every team's scoring average so far, pulled toward the league average so early hot and cold streaks don't count for too much.
Future of the dynasty
2027 rookie draft order
Projected after Week 4, with pick ownership after every trade.
Each cell shows who is on the clock with that pick.
How the order works
- Picks 1–6 go to the six teams currently outside the playoff places, ordered by Max PF (MPF): the lowest possible-points total picks first. Max PF is the best lineup each team could have started every week.
- Picks 7–12 go to the playoff teams. Final order is decided by the playoffs: the champion picks 12th, runner-up 11th, third 10th, and so on. Until then they're shown by projected seed, with the 6th seed at 7 and the top seed at 12.
- Playoff places use the league format: top 5 records, then the highest points-for among the rest.
- Gold cells are traded picks; the avatar shows the manager who now owns it, and the lime line marks where the playoff teams start.