The lead
Week 4: YS stuns Griff
136.63 points. An unbeaten 11–0 all-play week. YS beat the projections by 5.58.

- Score of the week
- 136.63YS
- Closest finish
- 8.50Danny vs Tucker
- Biggest win
- 26.17Rhys vs Connor
- Bench points
- 62.48Griff
The Week That Was
Every result, and the numbers that decided them.
Week 4 results
Numbers that mattered
Upset of the week
YS flipped the forecast
136.63–118.67Beat Griff despite trailing the player-only Sleeper projection by 5.58.
Low score
Weave80.80
A week to delete from the group chat.
Lineup call
Tucker91%
Best share of available roster points reached the lineup.
Top starters
Tetairoa McMillanWR · CAR · YS37.20
CeeDee LambWR · DAL · Dewi32.80
Kyren WilliamsRB · LAR · Tucker31.70
Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC · Cup30.40
Javonte WilliamsRB · DAL · Powell28.80
The Power List
Who's rising, who's falling and who's running out of excuses.
A season-long performance index blending total points, record, cumulative winning margin, lineup efficiency, and all-play record across every week played. It rewards how well a team has played all year, not just whether it escaped 1–0.
- 1
Powell—3–110–1 all-play this week72% efficiencyPower Index 88
Still the team to beat
Powell beat Cup 123.74 to 108.72. Javonte Williams led the lineup with 28.80. In hindsight, starting Romeo Doubs (20.80) instead of Stefon Diggs (6.00) adds 14.80; points left unused despite the result.
Next up: Tee. Review the Romeo Doubs decision, but check availability and the matchup before chasing last week's points.
Next: Tee
- 2
YS↑23–111–0 all-play this week82% efficiencyPower Index 82
Nobody could live with them
YS beat Griff 136.63 to 118.67. Tetairoa McMillan led the lineup with 37.20. In hindsight, starting Tyler Allgeier (11.90) instead of Amon-Ra St. Brown (11.50) adds 0.40; points left unused despite the result.
Next up: Connor. Review the Tyler Allgeier decision, but check availability and the matchup before chasing last week's points.
Next: Connor
- 3
Dewi↓13–14–7 all-play this week88% efficiencyPower Index 74
Job done
Dewi beat Tee 108.38 to 91.67. CeeDee Lamb led the lineup with 32.80. In hindsight, starting Darren Waller (5.10) instead of Travis Kelce (2.50) adds 2.60; points left unused despite the result.
Next up: Weave. Review the Darren Waller decision, but check availability and the matchup before chasing last week's points.
Next: Weave
- 4
Tucker↑13–19–2 all-play this week91% efficiencyPower Index 65
Job done
Tucker beat Danny 122.18 to 113.68. Kyren Williams led the lineup with 31.70. That score beat 9 of the other 11 teams this week.
Next up: Cup. No higher-scoring direct bench swap was found in the available lineup data; check injuries and byes before setting the next lineup.
Next: Cup
- 5
Tee↓22–21–10 all-play this week74% efficiencyPower Index 63
Sliding down the list
Tee lost to Dewi 91.67 to 108.38. Josh Allen led the lineup with 17.52. In hindsight, starting Jaylen Waddle (12.00) instead of Dontayvion Wicks (3.30) adds 8.70, but still leaves a defeat.
Next up: Powell. Review the Jaylen Waddle decision, but check availability and the matchup before chasing last week's points.
Next: Powell
- 6
Griff—2–27–4 all-play this week66% efficiencyPower Index 49
Points left on the bench
Griff lost to YS 118.67 to 136.63. Joe Burrow led the lineup with 22.72. In hindsight, starting Sam LaPorta (18.40) instead of Dalton Kincaid (1.20) adds 17.20, but still leaves a defeat.
Next up: Danny. Review the Sam LaPorta decision, but check availability and the matchup before chasing last week's points.
Next: Danny
- 7
Rhys↑12–28–3 all-play this week83% efficiencyPower Index 49
Job done
Rhys beat Connor 120.02 to 93.85. Chuba Hubbard led the lineup with 25.40. In hindsight, starting DK Metcalf (14.00) instead of Rashee Rice (0.00) adds 14.00; points left unused despite the result.
Next up: Brad. Review the DK Metcalf decision, but check availability and the matchup before chasing last week's points.
Next: Brad
- 8
Brad↓13–13–8 all-play this week71% efficiencyPower Index 41
Points left on the bench
Brad beat Weave 98.06 to 80.80. Zay Flowers led the lineup with 21.80. In hindsight, starting Emanuel Wilson (24.50) instead of Parker Washington (1.50) adds 23.00; points left unused despite the result.
Next up: Rhys. Review the Emanuel Wilson decision, but check availability and the matchup before chasing last week's points.
Next: Rhys
- 9
Danny—1–36–5 all-play this week89% efficiencyPower Index 31
Still searching
Danny lost to Tucker 113.68 to 122.18. Nico Collins led the lineup with 27.30. In hindsight, starting Marvin Harrison Jr. (7.70) instead of Kalif Raymond (1.60) adds 6.10, but still leaves a defeat.
Next up: Griff. Review the Marvin Harrison Jr. decision, but check availability and the matchup before chasing last week's points.
Next: Griff
- 10
Cup—1–35–6 all-play this week74% efficiencyPower Index 30
Points left on the bench
Cup lost to Powell 108.72 to 123.74. Kenneth Walker III led the lineup with 30.40. In hindsight, starting Brian Robinson Jr. (25.20) instead of Saquon Barkley (0.50) adds 24.70 and turns the loss into a 9.68-point win.
Next up: Tucker. Review the Brian Robinson Jr. decision, but check availability and the matchup before chasing last week's points.
Next: Tucker
- 11
Weave—1–30–11 all-play this week88% efficiencyPower Index 20
Bottom of the all-play
Weave lost to Brad 80.80 to 98.06. Dak Prescott led the lineup with 18.10. In hindsight, starting Pat Bryant (6.20) instead of Kenyon Sadiq (0.00) adds 6.20, but still leaves a defeat.
Next up: Dewi. Review the Pat Bryant decision, but check availability and the matchup before chasing last week's points.
Next: Dewi
- 12
Connor—0–42–9 all-play this week79% efficiencyPower Index 8
Running out of excuses
Connor lost to Rhys 93.85 to 120.02. Kyle Monangai led the lineup with 27.50. In hindsight, starting Drake Maye (23.16) instead of Patrick Mahomes (17.00) adds 6.16, but still leaves a defeat.
Next up: YS. Review the Drake Maye decision, but check availability and the matchup before chasing last week's points.
Next: YS
Power Index (0–100), season to date: 35% total points for · 20% season record · 15% cumulative margin · 15% season lineup efficiency · 15% all-play record. Arrows show movement from last week's season rankings.
Around the League
Survival, side quests and the stories from the group chat.
Last Man Standing
Tee enters the graveyard
91.67 points sealed his fate. Eight managers remain.
One manager falls each week. The lowest scorer still alive is eliminated; previous casualties cannot be eliminated twice. The final survivor wins the LMS pot.
- Still standing
- 8
- Eliminated
- 4
- Weeks remaining
- 8
Still alive
BradPowellGriffRhysYSCupDewiTucker
Graveyard
☠ Weave · W1☠ Danny · W2☠ Connor · W3☠ Tee · W4
Waiver wire pickup of the week
Brad strikes gold with Emanuel Wilson
Brad · Emanuel Wilson · 24.50 points · Benched
Dumbest drop of the week
Cup lets Emanuel Wilson walk
Cup · Dropped Emanuel Wilson (RB) · 24.50 points this week
Whiff of the week
Cup benched the win
Starting Brian Robinson Jr. instead of Saquon Barkley would have turned the loss into a 9.68-point win over Powell.
You're not as dull as you look.
The Power
YS holds The Power
Defeated Griff
Spin the Wheel
Most Rushing Yards (Single Player)
Cup · Kenneth Walker recorded 177 rushing yards
Ladbrokes
YS read the card
5/6 correct · joint winners of the weekly prediction card.
From the week to the season
The State of Play
Where everyone stands today — and where the numbers say they'll finish.
League table Through Week 4
| # | Manager | W–L | PF |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3–1 | 529.82 | |
| 2 | 3–1 | 481.93 | |
| 3 | 3–1 | 463.07 | |
| 4 | 3–1 | 430.53 | |
| 5 | 3–1 | 403.59 | |
| 6 | 2–2 | 468.76 | |
| 7 | 2–2 | 433.35 | |
| 8 | 2–2 | 423.73 | |
| 9 | 1–3 | 410.71 | |
| 10 | 1–3 | 394.87 | |
| 11 | 1–3 | 360.50 | |
| 12 | 0–4 | 338.89 |
Fraud Watch Weeks 1–4
The standings say one thing. The underlying numbers say another.
Prime suspect
Brad
- Actual
- 3–1
- Expected wins
- 1.55
- Schedule luck
- +1.45
The record is lying
Brad is 3–1, but 17 wins from 44 all-play matchups are worth only 1.55 expected wins. The difference is +1.45 wins of pure schedule luck.
All-play 17–27 · 9th in points for · 5th in the table · 8th on the Power List
Also under investigation
Tucker3–1 actual · 2.36 expected+0.64
Weave1–3 actual · 0.64 expected+0.36
Most robbed
3–1 actual · 3.64 expected · −0.64 wins
Powell has beaten 40 of 44 possible all-play opponents, yet the record shows only 3–1.
The playoff race
Six teams make the playoffs. Seeds 1–5 go to the best records; the final spot goes to the highest points-for among everyone else. Odds come from 10,000 simulations of the remaining Week 5–14 schedule.
- 1
Final FantasyPowell · 3–1 · 529.82 PF99.8% - 2
CrashBandiCootieYS · 3–1 · 481.93 PF95.7% - 3
Grand Theft AutodraftDewi · 3–1 · 463.07 PF88.8% - 4
Red Dead ConcepcionTee · 2–2 · 468.76 PF88.0% - 5
Lamar Croft: Tomb RunnerTucker · 3–1 · 430.53 PF63.2% - 6
Metal Gear Smith NjigbaGriff · 2–2 · 433.35 PF54.7% - 7
DK countryRhys · 2–2 · 423.73 PF40.8% - 8
Ja'maarf Life 2Brad · 3–1 · 403.59 PF37.0% - 9
Tekken a kneeCup · 1–3 · 410.71 PF20.3% - 10
Tony Hawk's Nico Skater 2Danny · 1–3 · 394.87 PF9.6% - 11
Ratchet And CookWeave · 1–3 · 360.50 PF1.7% - 12
Devil Maye CryConnor · 0–4 · 338.89 PF0.2%
How it works: each remaining game is played out using every team's scoring average so far, pulled toward the league average so early hot and cold streaks don't count for too much.
The Market
$504 spent. Who's actually getting a return?
Every paid winning waiver bid through Week 4, and what those players have actually delivered. Points only count while the player was in the buyer's starting lineup.
The FAAB ledger
How the math works
- Spent adds up every winning waiver bid from Week 1 to Week 4. Failed bids, free-agent pickups and $0 claims are left out of the table entirely. Remaining budget is $100 minus spent.
- Started pts counts a player's points only in weeks he was in the buyer's starting lineup, from the week he was claimed onward. Bench weeks, and anything he scores after being dropped, don't count.
- Pts per $1 is started points ÷ FAAB spent. Example: $10 spent and 45 started points = 4.50 per $1. Managers who haven't spent anything show “—”.
- Best value buy is the single paid claim with the highest started points ÷ bid. Biggest splash is the largest single bid.